News & Insights

The rise in interest rates has caused the values of mortgage portfolios and long-term investments to decline. Some credit unions and board members have said, “Maybe we should stop or slow down our mortgage lending.” My answer to them is always the same: Wait, let’s talk this through first.

Interest rates on investments have risen substantially since the beginning of the year, particularly on maturities of five years or less. The two-year Treasury yield is up more than 70 basis points, and the five-year Treasury is up more than 50 basis points from year-end 2021 levels. What does this mean for your investment portfolio?

In January, the National Credit Union Administration (NCUA) outlined their 2022 supervisory priorities, which focus on “areas that pose the highest risk to credit unions, credit union members and the National Credit Union Share Insurance Fund.” 

With the Federal Reserve signaling to markets that inflation fighting – rather than a focus on full employment – is the imminent mandate, the specter of rising interest rates now looms. High CPI numbers have caused this shift. But is the inflation threat real, given the supply chain effects of the pandemic and long-term rates that remain at levels well below the prior rate cycle?